Thomson Reuters - Proprietary Research

Report Archive - interest rates

Beware the Double Dip . . . Just Not Yet
A Tale of Four Double-Duty Indicators
07-Jul-2010
Is a double-dip recession unavoidable? Since the current US economic expansion began, some people have been insisting that the US economy will fall back into recession in light of the hurdles it faces after enduring one of its most acute financial crises. However, the likelihood of a double-dip recession is very low and, even if it can’t be completely discarded, none of the indicators that normally support such a conclusion are present: no interest rate rise, no yield curve inversion, no oil price increase, and no decay in corporate profits.
Regions: United States
Authors: Juan Crespo
Products: Datastream
Keywords: economics, GDP, interest rates
Download full report

European Market Commentary
Banks, Chemicals, and Oil & Gas Producers Likely to Drive Robust Q2 2010 Earnings Growth
25-Jun-2010
Europe Market Commentary, published fortnightly, recaps and reviews recent European economic and financial markets action. It compiles the latest data and cross-content insights of Thomson Reuters' market experts, highlighting key activity of the previous two weeks, and previewing noteworthy developments for the coming fortnight - for corporate earnings estimates, economic data, fixed income analysis, M&A, private equity, director dealings, market valuation metrics, and more.
Regions: Europe
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream, ThomsonONE.com Investment Banking
Keywords: bonds, capital markets, earnings, economics, equities, fixed income, interest rates, M&A, valuation
Download full report

Budget Deficits and Bond Markets
Analyzing the Relationship Between Deficits, Inflation and Yields
07-Jun-2010
What is driving the deficit to historic highs? Should investors be concerned that rising budget deficits could spur inflationary pressures and higher interest rates? Is the bond market reflecting the deficit pressures? With deficit levels expected to remain high over the next few years, what would be the best investment strategy for bond investors? In this study, we look to answer these questions, with a primary focus on linkages between federal deficits and bond markets.
Regions: United States
Authors: Radhika Kamath
Products: Datastream
Keywords: bonds, budget deficit, economics, fixed income, GDP, interest rates
Download full report

UK: Lenders Coming to Terms with Borrowers
Two Surveys Point to Economic Recovery
12-May-2010
This analysis of results from the most recent Deloitte CFO Survey and BoE Credit Conditions Survey examines current credit conditions in the UK. Credit availability is a key factor in sustaining an upturn. We aim to determine if the BoE’s rate reductions are showing signs of success, resulting in increased lending. Our study focuses on the period since Q3 2007, when the subprime mortgage crisis gripped the market.
Regions: United Kingdom
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream
Keywords: economics, interest rates
Download full report

European Market Commentary
Europe Expected to Return to Growth in 2010
19-Mar-2010
Europe Market Commentary, published fortnightly, recaps and reviews recent European economic and financial markets action. It compiles the latest data and cross-content insights of Thomson Reuters' market experts, highlighting key activity of the previous two weeks, and previewing noteworthy developments for the coming fortnight - for corporate earnings estimates, economic data, fixed income analysis, M&A, private equity, director dealings, market valuation metrics, and more.
Regions: Europe
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream, ThomsonONE.com Investment Banking
Keywords: currency, earnings, economics, foreign exchange, interest rates, M&A, private equity
Download full report

European Market Commentary
Q4 2009 Earnings Jump from Year-Ago Level; ECB Highlights Liquidity Exit Plans
05-Mar-2010
Europe Market Commentary, published fortnightly, recaps and reviews recent European economic and financial markets action. It compiles the latest data and cross-content insights of Thomson Reuters' market experts, highlighting key activity of the previous two weeks, and previewing noteworthy developments for the coming fortnight - for corporate earnings estimates, economic data, fixed income analysis, M&A, private equity, director dealings, market valuation metrics, and more.
Regions: Europe
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream, ThomsonONE.com Investment Banking
Keywords: currency, earnings, economics, foreign exchange, interest rates, M&A, private equity
Download full report

Is Sanity Returning to the CDS Market?
Sneak Peek into the U.S. Bond and CDS Market
01-Mar-2010
In this study, we examine the current state of the fixed income/CDS market and analyze CDS performance by sector in the US. Our analysis also seeks to determine: a) if the CDS market is stabilizing, b) if the market is correctly pricing credit risk, c) the attractiveness of bonds relative to equities for investment, and d) the relative risk levels of major regions across the world.
Regions: United States
Authors: Radhika Kamath
Products: Datastream
Keywords: economics, interest rates
Download full report

Fed Loan Officer Survey as a Forecasting Tool
Survey Yields Clues to Direction of Real Economy
22-Feb-2010
Does the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey indicate a revival in the flow of credit? Can survey data help forecast economic activity? Which economic measures correlate well with the survey’s results? Herein, we show how the survey data correspond to real economic variables.
Regions: United States
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream
Keywords: economics, interest rates
Download full report

European Market Commentary
Consumer Sector Helps Boost European Earnings after Financials
19-Feb-2010
Europe Market Commentary, published fortnightly, recaps and reviews recent European economic and financial markets action. It compiles the latest data and cross-content insights of Thomson Reuters' market experts, highlighting key activity of the previous two weeks, and previewing noteworthy developments for the coming fortnight - for corporate earnings estimates, economic data, fixed income analysis, M&A, private equity, director dealings, market valuation metrics, and more.
Regions: Europe
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream, ThomsonONE.com Investment Banking
Keywords: currency, earnings, economics, foreign exchange, interest rates, M&A
Download full report

Europe Market Commentary
Healthy Growth in European Earnings, Despite Missing Estimates
05-Feb-2010
Europe Market Commentary, published fortnightly, recaps and reviews recent European economic and financial markets action. It compiles the latest data and cross-content insights of Thomson Reuters' market experts, highlighting key activity of the previous two weeks, and previewing noteworthy developments for the coming fortnight - for corporate earnings estimates, economic data, fixed income analysis, M&A, private equity, director dealings, market valuation metrics, and more.
Regions: Europe
Authors: Amitesh Kumar
Products: Datastream, ThomsonONE.com Investment Banking
Keywords: currency, earnings, economics, foreign exchange, interest rates, M&A
Download full report