Report Archive - Juan Crespo
The Rain in Spain Remains on the Plain, Not in the Banks
Despite the Noise, 75% of Spain's Banking System Is Sound- 27-Jan-2011
Concerns about Spain’s banking system appear to arise from a handful of regional banks — which amount to less than 25% of the country’s banking system. Still, Spain, and the Eurozone as a whole, may have to successfully endure a further market shock before investor confidence is ultimately restored.
- Regions: Europe, Spain
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: budget deficit, economics, GDP, real estate, sentiment
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Installing Shock-Absorbers in the Eurozone
The Case for Government-Sponsored Enterprises- 02-Dec-2010
The money-for-sovereignty case — or how a mix of German-style fiscal policies and US-style monetary policies might save the European Union.
- Regions: Europe
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: budget deficit, capital markets, economics
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What Lies Beneath
Islands and Rare Earths: Currencies of a Looming Trade War?- 29-Oct-2010
The next decade may see an increased number of threats to freedom of trade. Interpretations of acute movements in price (as in the rare earths commodities case) will have to examine the possibility of trade “guerrillas” hiding in the equation.
- Regions: Global
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: commodities
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Beware the Double Dip . . . Just Not Yet
A Tale of Four Double-Duty Indicators- 07-Jul-2010
Is a double-dip recession unavoidable? Since the current US economic expansion began, some people have been insisting that the US economy will fall back into recession in light of the hurdles it faces after enduring one of its most acute financial crises. However, the likelihood of a double-dip recession is very low and, even if it can’t be completely discarded, none of the indicators that normally support such a conclusion are present: no interest rate rise, no yield curve inversion, no oil price increase, and no decay in corporate profits.
- Regions: United States
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: economics, GDP, interest rates
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The Long Sideways Commodities Run
Long-Term Price Stagnation Looming?- 28-Jun-2010
From 1980 to 2005 commodity prices remained rangebound. Thirty years earlier, from 1952 to 1972, something similar had happened. However, two different and distinct price jumps occurred between and after those two periods. The symmetry of these four periods is not, curiously enough, mirrored by economic growth. Is the pattern set to repeat?
- Regions: Global
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: commodities
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Is the Gold Rush Here to Stay?
Implications for the US Dollar- 03-Dec-2009
Based on a gold price behavior pattern that can be traced back to 1968, the price of gold may appear headed for a significant correction, potentially opening the door for a strong dollar period and concomitant commodity price stagnation or decline.
- Regions: United States
- Authors: Juan Crespo
- Products: Datastream
- Keywords: gold
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MORE REPORTS
Jharonne Martis-Olivo
- Thomson Reuters Same Store Sales January Review
Luxury and Apparel Retailers Let the Pack - 02-Feb-2012
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Sridharan Raman
- Earnings Surprise Forecast
Predicted Surprises for Q3 2011 -- North America - 06-Oct-2011
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- Earnings Surprise Forecast
Predicted Surprises for Q1 2011 -- North America - 08-Apr-2011
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- Earnings Surprise Forecast: Asia
Predicted Surprises for 2010 -- Asia - 17-Feb-2011
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